The Economic Survey Volume two tabled today in Parliament noticed a rekindled optimism on structural reforms in Indian economy.<br/><br/>The survey said various factors such as launch of the GST; Positive impacts of demonetization; decision in principle to privatize Air India; further rationalization of energy subsidies and Actions to address the Twin Balance Sheet (TBS) challenge contribute to this optimism.<br/><br/>The document also adds that a growing confidence that macro-economic stability has become entrenched is evident because of a series of government and RBI actions and because of structural changes in the oil market have reduced the risk of sustained price increases.<br/><br/>However the Survey cautions that anxiety reigns because a series of deflationary impulses are weighing on an economy, yet to gather its full momentum and still away from its potential.<br/><br/>These include: stressed farm revenues, as non-cereal food prices have declined; farm loan waivers and the fiscal tightening they will entail; and declining profitability in the power and telecommunication sectors.<br/><br/>The Survey notes that the oil market is very different today than a few years ago in a way that imparts a downward bias to oil prices, or at least has capped the upside risks to oil prices.<br/><br/>The Survey said Farm loan waivers could reduce aggregate demand by as much as 0.7 percent of GDP, imparting a significant deflationary shock to an economy.<br/><br/>It also said spurt in New Tax Payers and Reported Income After Demonetization; 5.4 lakh New Tax Payers Post-Demonetization. Demonetization's impact on the informal economy increased demand for social insurance, particularly in less developed states.
News On AIR | August 11, 2017 1:12 PM
Economic Survey Volume II notices rekindled optimism on structural reforms in Indian economy